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Role Of Extra-Government Non-State Actors Likely To Minimally Increase In Guinea-Bissau 2_EG.jpgOver The Next Five Years


Executive Summary:
In Guinea-Bissau, over the next five years, the role of lawful, government sanctioned non-state actors (NSAs) is likely to moderately decrease as the role of unlawful extra-governmental actors will experience a minimal increase. TheMinimal_Inc.jpg political instability of the country, combined with its poor economic development keep the role of lawful NSAs to an insignificant level. Currently,however, Guinea-Bissau's social, political, and economic atmosphere allow for a minimal role for unlawful NSAs (represented by its score of 2 on the Extra-Governmental Sanctioned side of the Role Potential spectrum). In addition, the government's alleged support for, and in some cases the inability to combat, various drug trafficking and organized crime groups within the country, is likely to lead to the increase in the role of extra governmental NSAs.

Analytical Confidence: 7
Source Reliability:
8



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Overall Scores

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Democracy Var.

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Doing Bus. Var.

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Corruption Var.

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Failed States Var.

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Geo Dis- NGOs

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Geo Dis- Bus.

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Geo Dis- Ter Grps.